New outlooks in traceability and consistency of integrated scenarios (Record no. 17571)
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| 000 -CABECERA | |
|---|---|
| Campo de control de longitud fija | 03051nab a22001937a 4500 |
| 008 - CAMPO FIJO DE DESCRIPCIÓN FIJA--INFORMACIÓN GENERAL | |
| Campo de control de longitud fija | 120229t xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d |
| 040 ## - FUENTE DE CATALOGACIÓN | |
| Agencia de catalogación original | ES-MaBCA |
| Agencia que realiza la transcripción | ES-MaBCA |
| 100 ## - ENCABEZAMIENTO PRINCIPAL--NOMBRE PERSONAL | |
| 9 (RLIN) | 13961 |
| Nombre de persona | Kosow, Hannah |
| 245 ## - MENCIÓN DE TÍTULO | |
| Título | New outlooks in traceability and consistency of integrated scenarios |
| Medio físico | [Recurso electrónico] PDF |
| 300 ## - DESCRIPCIÓN FÍSICA | |
| Extensión | Recurso online 12 p. |
| 520 ## - RESUMEN, ETC. | |
| Nota de sumario, etc. | This paper proposes two criteria to assess and compare the quality of (integrated) scenarios, namely scenario traceability and scenario consistency. From a futures research perspective, both are identified as being central challenges to scenario quality. Traceability is a recognized standard of scenario communication but difficult to achieve in practice. Consistency, simultaneously a construction principle and a constitutive element of scenarios, is not easy to accomplish either. Integrated scenario methodologies, i.e., those approaches combining, e.g., ‘story and simulation’ (SAS), are especially challenged by both issues. In this paper, scenario traceability and scenario consistency are more precisely defined and operationalized to allow for qualitative measurement, assessment and comparisons of different (integrated) scenario methodologies and their resulting socioenvironmental scenarios. The criteria are applied empirically to new forms of integrated scenario methodologies. They serve to analyze two explorative case studies combining the<br/>systematic yet qualitative cross-impact balance analysis (CIB) with simulation. The criteria allow illuminating whether and on what dimensions and levels these new forms of integrated scenario methodologies do (or do not) support scenario consistency and scenario traceability. The empirical analysis shows that new integrated scenario methodologies combining CIB with numerical simulation present some new answers to the traceability and consistency challenges of classical SAS approaches. The application suggests that the two criteria are appropriate and useful for assessing scenario quality from an academic perspective. Still, further research is needed to understand the relation of traceability and consistency to additional quality criteria that influence the practical usefulness of scenarios from a policy advice-oriented perspective. |
| 650 #0 - ASIENTO SECUNDARIO DE MATERIA--TÉRMINO DE MATERIA | |
| 9 (RLIN) | 13653 |
| Nombre de materia o nombre geográfico como elemento de entrada | Análisis de sistemas |
| 650 #0 - ASIENTO SECUNDARIO DE MATERIA--TÉRMINO DE MATERIA | |
| 9 (RLIN) | 1183 |
| Nombre de materia o nombre geográfico como elemento de entrada | Prospectiva |
| 650 #0 - ASIENTO SECUNDARIO DE MATERIA--TÉRMINO DE MATERIA | |
| 9 (RLIN) | 1178 |
| Nombre de materia o nombre geográfico como elemento de entrada | Investigación |
| 650 #0 - ASIENTO SECUNDARIO DE MATERIA--TÉRMINO DE MATERIA | |
| 9 (RLIN) | 1182 |
| Nombre de materia o nombre geográfico como elemento de entrada | Metodología de análisis |
| 773 0# - ENTRADA DE DOCUMENTO FUENTE | |
| Asiento principal | European Journal of Futures Research |
| Información relacionada | . -- Vol. 3 Issue 1 (Dec. 2015) p. 1-12 |
| Texto desplegable | En : |
| Título | European Journal of Futures Research |
| ISSN | 2195-2248 |
| Número de control del registro | 5362 |
| 856 4# - ACCESO ELECTRÓNICO | |
| Identificador uniforme del recurso URI | <a href="http://download.springer.com/static/pdf/722/art%253A10.1007%252Fs40309-015-0077-6.pdf?originUrl=http%3A%2F%2Flink.springer.com%2Farticle%2F10.1007%2Fs40309-015-0077-6&token2=exp=1454417352~acl=%2Fstatic%2Fpdf%2F722%2Fart%25253A10.1007%25252Fs40309-015-0077-6.pdf%3ForiginUrl%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Flink.springer.com%252Farticle%252F10.1007%252Fs40309-015-0077-6*~hmac=97298d5a91a8678ae0d169bac402f5dec1fa5f36ec86391617ece3bb866e50ab">http://download.springer.com/static/pdf/722/art%253A10.1007%252Fs40309-015-0077-6.pdf?originUrl=http%3A%2F%2Flink.springer.com%2Farticle%2F10.1007%2Fs40309-015-0077-6&token2=exp=1454417352~acl=%2Fstatic%2Fpdf%2F722%2Fart%25253A10.1007%25252Fs40309-015-0077-6.pdf%3ForiginUrl%3Dhttp%253A%252F%252Flink.springer.com%252Farticle%252F10.1007%252Fs40309-015-0077-6*~hmac=97298d5a91a8678ae0d169bac402f5dec1fa5f36ec86391617ece3bb866e50ab</a> |
| Tipo de formato electrónico | |
| 942 ## - ELEMENTOS KOHA | |
| Fuente de clasificación o esquema de ordenación en estanterías | Universal Decimal Classification |
| Koha tipo de item | Analíticas |
| Suprimido | Perdido | Fuente de clasificación o esquema de ordenación en estanterías | Estropeado | No se presta | Koha Colección | Localización (Biblioteca) | Sublocalización o Colección (subbiblioteca) | Fecha de adquisición | Koha préstamos (veces que ha sido prestado) | Designación de pieza (código de barras) | Koha Fecha de último uso | Precio efectivo desde | Koha tipo de item |
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| Universal Decimal Classification | Biblioteca Digital | Centro de Análisis y Prospectiva de la Guardia Civil | Centro de Análisis y Prospectiva de la Guardia Civil | 02/02/2016 | 2016015 | 02/02/2016 | 02/02/2016 | Analíticas |
