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Terrorism [Recurso electronico] PDF : Global Threat Forecast

By: Material type: ArticleISSN:
  • 2386-9453
Subject(s): Online resources: In: UNISCI Discussion Papers UNISCI Discussion Papers . -- N. 43 (enero 2017) p. 105-116Summary: Three significant developments will characterize the global threat landscape in 2017. First, it is likely that the so-called Islamic State (IS) will transform itself from a caliphate-building entity into a global terrorist movement in a similar manner as Al Qaeda (AQ). Second, the death of either the IS leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi or AQ leader Ayman al Zawahiri, may lead to collaboration or possible unification of the most powerful terrorist groups. IS, AQ and their associates will compensate for their losses in the physical space by expanding further into cyber space.
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Centro de Análisis y Prospectiva de la Guardia Civil Biblioteca Digital Available 2017570
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Three significant developments will characterize the global threat landscape in 2017. First, it
is likely that the so-called Islamic State (IS) will transform itself from a caliphate-building
entity into a global terrorist movement in a similar manner as Al Qaeda (AQ). Second, the
death of either the IS leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi or AQ leader Ayman al Zawahiri, may
lead to collaboration or possible unification of the most powerful terrorist groups. IS, AQ and
their associates will compensate for their losses in the physical space by expanding further
into cyber space.

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