TY - SER AU - Gunaratna, Rohan TI - Terrorism: : Global Threat Forecast SN - 2386-9453 KW - Terrorismo internacional KW - Estado Islámico KW - Al-Qaeda KW - Foreign Fighters KW - Terrorismo KW - Ciberterrorismo N2 - Three significant developments will characterize the global threat landscape in 2017. First, it is likely that the so-called Islamic State (IS) will transform itself from a caliphate-building entity into a global terrorist movement in a similar manner as Al Qaeda (AQ). Second, the death of either the IS leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi or AQ leader Ayman al Zawahiri, may lead to collaboration or possible unification of the most powerful terrorist groups. IS, AQ and their associates will compensate for their losses in the physical space by expanding further into cyber space UR - https://www.ucm.es/data/cont/media/www/pag-72408//UNISCIDP43-NUMEROENTERO.pdf ER -