TY - BOOK ED - Institute for Security Studies TI - What if ... Conceivable crises: : Unpredictable in 2017, unmanageable in 2020? SN - 978-92-9198-625-5 SN - 2363-264X PY - 2017/// CY - Paris, France PB - EU Institute for Security Studies KW - Unión Europea KW - Gestión de crisis KW - Relaciones Internacionales KW - Prospectiva N2 - In a world increasingly shaped by unexpected events and developments – ranging from ‘strategic surprises’ like 9/11 or the Arab Spring to the unintended consequences of often well-meant decisions – trying to imagine contingencies that challenge current assumptions may well prove a useful exercise. This Report presents a number of grey swan scenarios which are designed to help decision-makers think about possible responses to crises and how they can be prevented. They cover a wide variety of geographical and operational situations while never explicitly calling into question specific EU actions or policies – only general EU principles and interests UR - https://www.iss.europa.eu/content/what-if-conceivable-crises-unpredictable-2017-unmanageable-2020 ER -