TY - BOOK AU - Faleg, Giovanni ED - Institute for Security Studies TI - Resetting Ethiopia: : Will the state heal or fail? T2 - ISS Brief SN - 978-92-9198-778-8 SN - 2315-111 PY - 2019/// PB - Institut d’Études de Sécurité de l’Union européenne KW - Violencia política KW - Etiopía N2 - The appointment of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in 2018 marked a turning point in Ethiopia’s recent history. The transfer of power was peaceful and the new leadership launched unprecedented reforms to accelerate the country’s path towards democratisation. › Instead of addressing Ethiopia’s vulnerabilities, however, reforms weakened the state even further. Centrifugal forces and claims of self-determination rose, leading to ethnic violence. › The trajectory of Ethiopia’s transition is currently driven by domestic, economic and external factors, which delineate three possible avenues: (1) spiralling instability and relapse into conflict; (2) gradual stabilisation, progress towards democracy and growth; (3) partial democratisation, combined with protracted turbulence. › Strengthening the resilience of the Ethiopian state and preventing an escalation of political violence are two policy priorities in view of the 2020 elections. Conflict risks can be mitigated by reconciling the ambitious reforms with concrete local needs and ethnic grievances. UR - https://biblioteca.guardiacivil.es/cgi-bin/koha/opac-retrieve-file.pl?id=3a5fbcffb4a323b885915f3fda5e83cc ER -