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008			120307t xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a1584875232
040			_aES-MaBCA _cES-MaBCA
100	1		_912679 _aGray, Colin S.
245			_aThucydides Was Right _h[Recurso electrónico] PDF _b: Defining the Future Threat
260			_bStrategic Studies Institute _cAbril 2015
300			_aRecurso online, 76 p.
520			_aTo define future threat is, in a sense, an impossible task, yet it is one that must be done. The only sources of empirical evidence accessible are the past and the present; one cannot obtain understanding about the future from the future. The author draws upon the understanding of strategic history obtainable from Thucydides’ great History of the Peloponnesian War. He advises prudence as the operating light for American definition of future threat, and believes that there are historical parallels between the time of Thucydides and our own that can help us avoid much peril. The future must always be unpredictable to us in any detail, but the many and potent continuities in history’s great stream of time can serve to alert us to what may well happen in kind.
600		0	_913365 _aTucídides
650		0	_91183 _aProspectiva
650		0	_98789 _aFilosofâia- _xHistoria
651		0	_91242 _aGrecia
653			_aPeloponeso
856	4		_uhttp://www.strategicstudiesinstitute.army.mil/pubs/display.cfm?pubID=1256&utm_content=bufferfa385&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter.com&utm_campaign=buffer _qPDF
942			_2udc _cBK
999			_c16497 _d16500