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040			_aES-MaBCA _cES-MaBCA
100			_913885 _aKinninmont, Jane.
245			_aFuture Trends in the Gulf _h[Recurso electrónico] PDF
260			_aLondon _bChatham House _cFebruary, 2015
300			_aRecurso online, 80 p.
520			_aThe Gulf monarchies – the six member states of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC – Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)) – are undergoing dramatic change. The last decade has seen rapid growth in their populations, economies and education systems, coupled with deep changes in the flow of information, the make-up of the population and the economic expectations of the younger generation. The Gulf states are increasingly important foreign policy players and investors, which means that a growing range of countries have a direct interest in their wealth and stability. This report makes a number of recommendations for GCC governments and international allies. Key points are summarized below. In short, it argues that the Gulf countries should seize the opportunity to carry out meaningful reforms towards more constitutional forms of monarchy. Failing that, the various dynamics of change – economic, demographic, social and political – will add to pressures on the states of the Gulf, and increase the risks of future conflict in a region of vital strategic importance to the rest of the world.
650		0	_912519 _aGeografía humana
650		0	_913536 _aDesarrollo económico
650		0	_91096 _aGlobalización
650		0	_91183 _aProspectiva
650		0	_91633 _aSistemas de gestión _xGestión estratégica
651		0	_913592 _aGolfo pérsico
856	4		_qPDF _uhttp://espas.eu/orbis/sites/default/files/generated/document/en/FutureTrend%20Gulf.pdf
942			_2udc _cBK
999			_c17432 _d17435