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022 _a2386-9453
040 _aSpMaBN
_bEspañol
_cSpMaBN
100 _91995
_aGunaratna, Rohan
245 _aTerrorism
_h[Recurso electronico] PDF
_b: Global Threat Forecast
520 _aThree significant developments will characterize the global threat landscape in 2017. First, it is likely that the so-called Islamic State (IS) will transform itself from a caliphate-building entity into a global terrorist movement in a similar manner as Al Qaeda (AQ). Second, the death of either the IS leader Abu Bakr al Baghdadi or AQ leader Ayman al Zawahiri, may lead to collaboration or possible unification of the most powerful terrorist groups. IS, AQ and their associates will compensate for their losses in the physical space by expanding further into cyber space.
650 0 _91745
_aTerrorismo internacional
650 0 _913909
_aEstado Islámico
650 0 _913948
_aAl-Qaeda
650 0 _913002
_aForeign Fighters
650 0 _91739
_aTerrorismo
_xCiberterrorismo
773 0 _aUNISCI Discussion Papers
_g. -- N. 43 (enero 2017) p. 105-116
_iEn :
_tUNISCI Discussion Papers
_w3323
_x2386-9453
856 4 _uhttps://www.ucm.es/data/cont/media/www/pag-72408//UNISCIDP43-NUMEROENTERO.pdf
942 _2udc
_cAN
999 _c19136
_d19139