000			01584nam a22002537a 4500
003			ES-MaBCA
005			20170726132742.0
008			130211b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a 978-92-9198-625-5
022			_2ISSN _a2363-264X
024			_2doi _a10.2815/31849
040			_aES-MaBCA _cES-MaBCA
245			_aWhat if ... Conceivable crises _b: Unpredictable in 2017, unmanageable in 2020? _h[Recurso electrónico] PDF
260			_aParis, France _bEU Institute for Security Studies _cJune 2017
300			_a67 p.
520			_aIn a world increasingly shaped by unexpected events and developments – ranging from ‘strategic surprises’ like 9/11 or the Arab Spring to the unintended consequences of often well-meant decisions – trying to imagine contingencies that challenge current assumptions may well prove a useful exercise. This Report presents a number of grey swan scenarios which are designed to help decision-makers think about possible responses to crises and how they can be prevented. They cover a wide variety of geographical and operational situations while never explicitly calling into question specific EU actions or policies – only general EU principles and interests.
610			_91645 _aUnión Europea
650		0	_91755 _aGestión de crisis
650		0	_91851 _aRelaciones Internacionales
650		0	_91183 _aProspectiva
710			_9722 _aInstitute for Security Studies
856	4		_qPDF _uhttps://www.iss.europa.eu/content/what-if-conceivable-crises-unpredictable-2017-unmanageable-2020
942			_2udc _cBK _kBoletín UE _mJunio 2017
999			_c19993 _d19996