000			01959nam a22002537a 4500
999			_c22772 _d22775
003			ES-MaBCA
005			20200122125430.0
008			130612b xxu||||| |||| 00| 0 eng d
020			_a978-92-9198-778-8
022			_a 2315-1110
024			_2DOI _a10.2815/93664
040			_cES-MaBCA
100			_913151 _aFaleg, Giovanni
245			_aResetting Ethiopia _b: Will the state heal or fail? _h[Recurso electrónico]PDF
260			_bInstitut d’Études de Sécurité de l’Union européenne _cOctubre 2019
300			_a8 p.
490			_aISS Brief _v11
520			_aThe appointment of Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed in 2018 marked a turning point in Ethiopia’s recent history. The transfer of power was peaceful and the new leadership launched unprecedented reforms to accelerate the country’s path towards democratisation. › Instead of addressing Ethiopia’s vulnerabilities, however, reforms weakened the state even further. Centrifugal forces and claims of self-determination rose, leading to ethnic violence. › The trajectory of Ethiopia’s transition is currently driven by domestic, economic and external factors, which delineate three possible avenues: (1) spiralling instability and relapse into conflict; (2) gradual stabilisation, progress towards democracy and growth; (3) partial democratisation, combined with protracted turbulence. › Strengthening the resilience of the Ethiopian state and preventing an escalation of political violence are two policy priorities in view of the 2020 elections. Conflict risks can be mitigated by reconciling the ambitious reforms with concrete local needs and ethnic grievances.
650		0	_914369 _aViolencia política
651		0	_91212 _aEtiopía
710			_9722 _aInstitute for Security Studies
856	4		_uhttps://biblioteca.guardiacivil.es/cgi-bin/koha/opac-retrieve-file.pl?id=3a5fbcffb4a323b885915f3fda5e83cc
942			_2udc _cART _kBoletín UE _mOctubre 2019