What if ... Conceivable crises
What if ... Conceivable crises :: Unpredictable in 2017, unmanageable in 2020? / [Recurso electrónico] PDF .-- Paris, France : EU Institute for Security Studies , June 2017 .-- 67 p.
In a world increasingly shaped by unexpected events and developments – ranging from ‘strategic surprises’ like 9/11 or the Arab Spring to the unintended consequences of often well-meant decisions – trying to imagine contingencies that challenge current assumptions may well prove a useful exercise.
This Report presents a number of grey swan scenarios which are designed to help decision-makers think about possible responses to crises and how they can be prevented. They cover a wide variety of geographical and operational situations while never explicitly calling into question specific EU actions or policies – only general EU principles and interests.
978-92-9198-625-5
2363-264X
10.2815/31849 doi
Unión Europea
Gestión de crisis Relaciones Internacionales Prospectiva
Institute for Security Studies
In a world increasingly shaped by unexpected events and developments – ranging from ‘strategic surprises’ like 9/11 or the Arab Spring to the unintended consequences of often well-meant decisions – trying to imagine contingencies that challenge current assumptions may well prove a useful exercise.
This Report presents a number of grey swan scenarios which are designed to help decision-makers think about possible responses to crises and how they can be prevented. They cover a wide variety of geographical and operational situations while never explicitly calling into question specific EU actions or policies – only general EU principles and interests.
978-92-9198-625-5
2363-264X
10.2815/31849 doi
Unión Europea
Gestión de crisis Relaciones Internacionales Prospectiva
Institute for Security Studies
