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What if ... Conceivable crises : Unpredictable in 2017, unmanageable in 2020? [Recurso electrónico] PDF

Contributor(s): Material type: TextPublication details: Paris, France EU Institute for Security Studies June 2017Description: 67 pISBN:
  • 978-92-9198-625-5
ISSN:
  • 2363-264X
Subject(s): Online resources: Summary: In a world increasingly shaped by unexpected events and developments – ranging from ‘strategic surprises’ like 9/11 or the Arab Spring to the unintended consequences of often well-meant decisions – trying to imagine contingencies that challenge current assumptions may well prove a useful exercise. This Report presents a number of grey swan scenarios which are designed to help decision-makers think about possible responses to crises and how they can be prevented. They cover a wide variety of geographical and operational situations while never explicitly calling into question specific EU actions or policies – only general EU principles and interests.
Item type: Monografías
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Cover image Item type Current library Home library Collection Shelving location Call number Materials specified Vol info URL Copy number Status Notes Date due Barcode Item holds Item hold queue priority Course reserves
Centro de Análisis y Prospectiva de la Guardia Civil Biblioteca Digital Available 2018423
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In a world increasingly shaped by unexpected events and developments – ranging from ‘strategic surprises’ like 9/11 or the Arab Spring to the unintended consequences of often well-meant decisions – trying to imagine contingencies that challenge current assumptions may well prove a useful exercise.

This Report presents a number of grey swan scenarios which are designed to help decision-makers think about possible responses to crises and how they can be prevented. They cover a wide variety of geographical and operational situations while never explicitly calling into question specific EU actions or policies – only general EU principles and interests.

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